The Hidden Force Governing Everything

In a world not solely ruled by armies or politics, influence creeps in like shadows, wrapping itself around every decision. There is always one ultimate goal: total control. Israel, a state born out of conflict, continually seeks absolute dominance, striving to transform its small geography into a vast empire.

But the question remains:

❓ What is Israel’s highest ambition? And what scenario would make it feel like its victory is irreversible? On the surface, the answer seems simple: annex Gaza and the West Bank, creating a “Greater Israel” free of any Palestinians to oppose it. This is Israel’s endgame: vast land, fewer people, complete control.

But reality paints a different picture. Like any power that seeks to expand, Israel faces a challenge it cannot easily overcome:

🔻 Resistance.

Here, we must recall an old law:

The larger the empire, the weaker its foundations.

To achieve this ambition, Israel must crush the forces surrounding it as a hammer shatters fragile glass. Jordan and Egypt are Fragile regimes drowning in corruption and stand as obstacles in Israel’s path. Though their collapse might seem inevitable, the consequences would be catastrophic. Israel understands another key law of power well:

Never enter a battle unless you’re prepared for the consequences.

For all its military strength, Israel knows that a prolonged direct war with Hezbollah in the south could mark the end of its expansion. It has tried, time and again, to empty Gaza of its population, yet after a year of war, it has failed to clear even northern Gaza. Israel finds itself trapped in the snare of resistance, hesitating with every step forward.

The Endless Conflict

This conflict is not merely about land or direct control; it is a battle for the future, for dominance over the narrative. Israel knows that an all-out war against resistance, whether in Gaza or Lebanon, will not yield a quick victory. On the contrary, every move toward war drains Israel further. Here lies the flaw:

The deeper Israel dives into weakening its enemies, the stronger their resistance grows.

This leads us to a greater law: “Sometimes fleeing from the enemy is a stronger weapon than confronting them.” Israel may have to avoid an all-out war with Iran, knowing full well that direct confrontation would require a force greater than itself—the United States. True war is not fought with tanks or jets but through influence and the power to manipulate global forces. This is where the American factor comes in.

America’s War in the Iranian Quagmire: The Trap Awaits

Israel needs the might of the United States to change the game, to destroy Iran’s nuclear program, and to plunge the region into chaos, granting it the chance to redraw the map according to its desires. But a full-scale war with Iran won’t be a swift strike on nuclear sites; it will quickly devolve into a devastating quagmire.

Iran is no easy foe. Its vast missile capabilities, regional alliances, and strategy of attrition will turn any conflict into an endless series of disasters.

A military strike against Iran will ignite the entire Gulf. The energy infrastructure— the arteries of the global economy—will become easy targets for Iranian missiles. Markets will spiral into chaos, oil prices will skyrocket to unthinkable levels, and the U.S. will find itself mired in an unending Middle Eastern swamp.

While America becomes entangled in a long, costly war in the Middle East, its ability to confront its real strategic adversaries will crumble.

China, America’s greatest foe, will be the biggest beneficiary. By dragging the U.S. into this quagmire, China will seize the golden opportunity to assert its dominance over Taiwan. Simultaneously, Russia will finish its war in Ukraine to its full advantage without serious Western interference.

The Tragedy of Overextension

War is not always a sign of strength; it can sometimes reveal the deepest weaknesses. Becoming mired in a conflict with Iran will deplete America’s military and economic resources beyond repair. Managing a war on three primary fronts—the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and Asia—exceeds even the capacity of the world’s greatest power.

A full-scale war with Iran will require massive troop deployments in the Gulf to protect vital energy infrastructure and ensure the continued flow of oil. Meanwhile, American forces will be vulnerable to missile attacks and drones from Iran and its allies.

However, as the U.S. focuses its efforts on this prolonged war, it will bear enormous economic costs. The global market will experience insane oil price spikes, and the American economy will contract under the strain. The wealthy Gulf nations, reliant on stable energy markets, will descend into chaos, while American bases scattered across the region face increasing attacks. Over time, America will realize that this war is not just a regional conflict but an attrition that stretches on for decades.

Strategic Consequences: Scattered Fronts

More crucially, this war will cause the United States to lose focus on its most important front:

East Asia.

China waits patiently for the perfect opportunity as America becomes further entangled in the Middle East. Taiwan, the strategic jewel in the South China Sea, is China’s ultimate prize. America’s preoccupation with the Middle East will give China the time and space to quietly and steadily execute its plans. Once the U.S. is fully engulfed in the Iranian conflict, China will move confidently toward Taiwan, seizing on weakened American deterrence.

Meanwhile, Russia will pressure the third front—Eastern Europe. Russia, knowing that America’s entanglement with Iran weakens its support for Ukraine and NATO allies, will exploit this opportunity to strengthen its control over Ukraine, perhaps even expanding further into former Soviet territories.

The Fragmentation of America: The End of Global Dominance

This scenario signals the collapse of American global dominance. Under the strain of managing multiple wars, its resources and defense capabilities will fragment. American forces stretched between protecting the Gulf, defending Taiwan, and supporting Ukraine will fail to secure decisive victories on any front. And here lies the greatest contradiction:

Despite its immense military power, America is not capable of waging a global war on its own.

The Result:

A Power Vacuum and the Rise of Alternatives

As the United States is drawn into this strategic scattering, China and Russia will quickly fill the vacuum. China will cement its dominance over Asia, and Russia will reshape Eastern Europe to its advantage.

In the end, the war with Iran will be just another chapter in America’s decline—an endless drain of resources and power in futile conflicts—leaving the U.S. bogged down in wars it cannot win while its competitors achieve victory without even fighting.

And What About Israel? Will It Emerge Victorious After All This?

After the collapse of the balance of power in the Middle East, the answer is:

No

Hezbollah, which has proven time and again its capacity for prolonged warfare, will be ready to drag Israel into the same quagmire. The circle of conflict will widen to include Syria and perhaps even lead to the collapse of the Jordanian regime—an alarming prospect for Israel, as these are fronts it cannot easily close or control.

This is not simply a war against a faction or a group; it’s a fireball that will consume everything, crossing borders and engulfing the entire region in endless chaos.

Today, Netanyahu seems drunk on the euphoria of his strikes in the Middle East, intoxicated by the illusion of military victory. But this euphoria doesn’t reflect reality. It’s the intoxication of power, not its true strength. All he has achieved so far is the killing of children, women, and elderly leaders who have long passed their prime.

Meanwhile, hundreds of thousands of fighters remain ready to continue the battle; supply lines remain intact and far-reaching, and the cowardly surrounding powers—too fearful of supporting Palestine, yet equally too fearful to openly back Israel—continue to watch.

The Illusion of Victory and the Danger of Attrition

Israel might believe it is winning temporarily, but the truth is that these victories are tactical, not strategic. Its leaders have ignored the basic law of long-term conflict:

Temporary victory is the greatest illusion.

Hezbollah, Syria, and other regional players are not playing a short-term game. On the contrary, they wait patiently, prepared for a long war that will drain Israel. In the end, Israel will be unable to bear the burden of fighting on multiple fronts simultaneously and will soon find itself trapped in an unlimited quagmire of attrition.

The tragedy here is not just the war itself but the unchecked ambition that leads Israel to believe it can defeat all its enemies through military might alone. As Netanyahu continues his aggressive path, he overlooks the truth that war is not just physical destruction but a gradual erosion of an enemy’s economic, political, and social strength.

And herein lies the greatest danger:

while Israel basks in the euphoria of victory, it may, in reality, be slowly crumbling, blind to the collapse that awaits it.

The Surrounding Environment: Strategic Paralysis in the Region

Alongside Israel stands the Arab world, crippled by strategic paralysis—not just in supporting Palestine, but even in their timid alliances with Israel (the normalizers). This surrounding environment, timid and hesitant, is an additional source of attrition. Too afraid to take a clear stance or offer decisive support, they only increase the fragility of the regional situation. These regional powers may appear neutral on the surface, but in reality, they push the region toward more chaos and tensions that may spiral out of control.

Ultimately, the real power lies not in the military strikes that leaders celebrate on television but in the ability to maintain long-term stability. And Israel, for all its strength, may find itself unable to close the cycle of attrition that it has opened with its own hands.

Israel is playing a dangerous game, a game mastered by powers that seek to control the destinies of others.

It is slowly and steadily pushing the United States towards a war that serves only its own ambitions, a war that may appear on the surface to be a strategic battle, but the truth is much darker. The United States finds no real gain in this conflict, except perhaps “camel’s milk,” a meager reward that is not enough to quench the thirst of an empire seeking to maintain its hegemony.

But in this push towards the abyss, Israel is miscalculating. It hopes to drag America into a battle that will guarantee its “happy millennium,” but the unchanging law is that blind greed produces nothing but bitterness. In the end, neither Israel nor the United States will find from this conflict anything but the same bitter taste: “camel urine,” the greatest symbol of the loss of interest and involvement in futile wars, and those wars are not quenched by wishful thinking nor won by force alone.

Just as history has taught us time and again, there is a difference between power and control, between an illusory victory and the stark reality that exposes the weakness of all who chase the mirage of dominance.